| The EUR/USD ranged in the low 1.07’s overnight. The dollar pared gains against the yen on Friday after data showed U.S. inflation came in line with forecasts, affirming expectations that the Federal Reserve will likely delay cutting interest rates to later this year.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.3% in March, compared to a forecast of a 0.3% increase, according to the data In the 12 months through March, PCE inflation advanced 2.7% against expectations of 2.6%.
It was flat at $1.2510 after rising earlier in the day to its highest against the dollar since April 12, adding to Thursday’s rally after U.S. data showed economic growth unexpected slowed, while inflation accelerated, which reinforced expectations the Fed would not cut interest rates before September.
Against the euro, sterling was also about flat, 0.1% on the day at 85.64 pence, both currencies having risen against the dollar after Thursday’s U.S. economic data.
“The pound and the euro reacted perfectly in tandem to U.S. GDP yesterday,” said Francesco Pesole, FX strategists at ING.
He added that with U.S. data having a neutral impact, only another round of repricing in Bank of England rates expectations can really stir the pair.
The main focus on Friday was the weakening yen, which fell to a 34-year low against the dollar with markets on edge about possible intervention after the Bank of Japan kept interest rates on hold.
Against the Japanese currency, sterling jumped 1.3% to 196.11, having touched its highest level since September 2008.
“Anyone who was looking for more dramatic actions from the BoJ will have been disappointed by this meeting. However, the economic data supported the BoJ’s cautious move,” said Kathleen Brooks, research director at XTB.
She noted that one month sterling/yen volatility has been retreating.
Sterling/yen implied one month volatility is up for a third day, but still below last week’s highs.
“We may see it fall further, as the risks of official intervention to support the yen begins to recede. This does not mean that the yen will recover, but it does mean that the decline could be in a more orderly fashion, with less big swings in the coming weeks,” she said.
Source: Reuters |
